Sasa ni 38.
Two on the path to recovery.
The next two weeks are a game changer!
He said that one week ago.
I believe it’s the next one week.
Remember we had only 7 cases last Saturday, now we have 38.
I
Game changer meaning we will have more cases, but far much less than would have been the case had we sat back and done nothing! We will hit 200 plus…
The last two weeks, we have been saying the next two weeks are gonna be this and this… let’s not let people live in fear…
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If it will be, it will be!!
Last week ikianza tuliambiwa this week tutanyamba. Sasa imekuwa kunyamba in after another two weeks?
We forget that the govt made changes! Like forced quarantine that has ensured that persons with infection don’t roam all over. However not all contacts would be captured(just my thought)… and we also have some still incubating! I guess we might use some form of quasi permutation plus some insight into current epidemiological trends to make clever guesses! Still, we never get it right. all the time!!
Bill Gates was on CNN jana. He said by June, developed world will have peaked mortality rates, but that’s when it will be hitting the developing world. Not my words…but when this msito talks you better pay attention. His foundation is the one funding vaccine trials.
We are familiar with Flu season in US…it kills many, yearly. We are familiar with Ebola. It has hit in at least two waves( Two Bells curves) in DRC/West Africa. We are on Covid-19 first wave, and it is yet to touch ground(firmly) in Africa. I agree!
Let’s hope so, but in reality, we’re just getting started. My guess would be 4-6 weeks from now. I’m taking the government figures with a pinch of salt.
Corona inapiga round mwenda around the world. The Epicenter was Asia, then Europe, now America, next ni Africa. Let’s hope for the best but expect the worst!
We are immune
What is the qualification of bill gates? Being wealthy does not give him any quslification on epidemiology. Why should it hit developing world in june, i guess his opinion from the ass. It is a case of “no way developing world can escape this” from a fcking racist
Sawa basi, let’s wait and see. Bill Gates has been talking about future pandemics for a very long time. Just last year in October of 2019, he was at a conference with John Hopkins Center for Health Security, dubbed Event 201 where they discussed this present scenario in great detail. It’s unfolding exactly as they had predicted. This is not a conspiracy theory.
[SIZE=7]The Event 201 scenario[/SIZE]
[SIZE=6]When/where[/SIZE]
Friday, October 18, 2019
8:45 a.m. – 12:30 p.m.
The Pierre hotel
New York, NY
Event 201 simulates an outbreak of a novel zoonotic coronavirus transmitted from bats to pigs to people that eventually becomes efficiently transmissible from person to person, leading to a severe pandemic. The pathogen and the disease it causes are modeled largely on SARS, but it is more transmissible in the community setting by people with mild symptoms.
The disease starts in pig farms in Brazil, quietly and slowly at first, but then it starts to spread more rapidly in healthcare settings. When it starts to spread efficiently from person to person in the low-income, densely packed neighborhoods of some of the megacities in South America, the epidemic explodes. It is first exported by air travel to Portugal, the United States, and China and then to many other countries. Although at first some countries are able to control it, it continues to spread and be reintroduced, and eventually no country can maintain control.
There is no possibility of a vaccine being available in the first year. There is a fictional antiviral drug that can help the sick but not significantly limit spread of the disease.
Since the whole human population is susceptible, during the initial months of the pandemic, the cumulative number of cases increases exponentially, doubling every week. And as the cases and deaths accumulate, the economic and societal consequences become increasingly severe.
The scenario ends at the 18-month point, with 65 million deaths. The pandemic is beginning to slow due to the decreasing number of susceptible people. The pandemic will continue at some rate until there is an effective vaccine or until 80-90 % of the global population has been exposed. From that point on, it is likely to be an endemic childhood disease.
This is eerie…or sinister
An incredible simulation. But, there is a bit of a difference between the simulation and what has actually happened, don’t you think?
No one, including the most religious person or top scientist can predict future events to the letter. Bill predicted guidelines based on the scientific data he’s gathered from his experience, and it’s panning out similar.
Hao wazungu waendelee speculating…ilikua next one week, then tukasonga to two weeks sasa nmeanza kuskia maneno ya June… Partly I agree because of course we will have fatalities, but one thing am sure it will not be even a quarter of a quarter of the deaths they are reporting. Because going by the pessimism they are pushing, our figures would by now be somewhere there.
Take time and watch a documentary that he did where they followed him around. I don’t know if what he said about corona is right but he is not just a rich guy yapping. Dude is widely read and knowledgeable in a lot of subjects other than technology. I think they said he reads over 10 books in a week. Halafu in his foundation huwa ameandika experts on whatever area he is pursuing. So u may wanna listen to him.
He.might be even one of those who helped come up with the virus.
People will say he is rich but there is still.more money in what he is doing