I have analyzed 3 elections with convincing success. I have never failed to know the outcome of Kenyan elections.
Here is my analysis of BBI referendum if it does happen. You can hold me to account on this.
The first major defining thing that shall be clear to everyone when BBI referendum takes place is that majority of voters shall not turn up to vote. Less than 40% of registered voters shall turn up to vote in the BBI referendum.
The other major thing that shall define the BBI referendum is that compared to 2010 referendum which was hugely popular with wananchi BBI is really unpopular and as such the number of NO votes as a percentage of the total votes cast shall be substantial. The BBI referendum shall be 50 50 but the BBI could sail through because many people opposed to it won't turn up to vote because they feel its unnecessary and at the same time there will be no major political faction opposing and campaigning against it.
Wait for the BBI referendum to happen and then question me on my prediction when the votes have been counted and finalized
Here is my analysis of BBI referendum if it does happen. You can hold me to account on this.
The first major defining thing that shall be clear to everyone when BBI referendum takes place is that majority of voters shall not turn up to vote. Less than 40% of registered voters shall turn up to vote in the BBI referendum.
The other major thing that shall define the BBI referendum is that compared to 2010 referendum which was hugely popular with wananchi BBI is really unpopular and as such the number of NO votes as a percentage of the total votes cast shall be substantial. The BBI referendum shall be 50 50 but the BBI could sail through because many people opposed to it won't turn up to vote because they feel its unnecessary and at the same time there will be no major political faction opposing and campaigning against it.
Wait for the BBI referendum to happen and then question me on my prediction when the votes have been counted and finalized