In a last-minute push to reach a deal by Friday, Iranian negotiators have refused to give ground on revealing the past military dimensions of their nukes program and their insistence on lifting missile restrictions. Today was the D-Day for the duration of the deal and THERAFTER, have the efforts enshrined in a UN Security Council resolution. This was one of the only serious remaining sticking points. In the resolution, Iran has also demanded a lifting of a UN arms embargo, which world powers are currently reluctant to do. This, which President Obama has cited as among his most important foreign-policy initiatives is surely doomed to fail. With every extension of the talks, it gives room to failure on reaching an accord which would in turn give Congress an additional month to debate any (if concluded) pact, and further, allowing Republicans more time to try and galvanize more opposition and ruin Obama’s dream of leaving a better US foreign policy than his predecessor. From a wider perspective, Iran is only playing ping pong with the US.
IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL STALLS.
- Thread starter De Clerk.
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Ever since 80s, there have been tense relationship between the two. Americans know well iran aint other nation they have rapped. So incase US strikes Iran, itis particularly exposed in Iraq, it has people and
assets across much of the region; Iran, too, has proxies across
the Middle East.
Iran could also attack oil infrastructure or blockade the Straits
of Hormuz, a critical oil-shipping route, which would have
tremendous effects
Iran can use a mix of mines, submarines, submersibles,
drones, anti‐ship missiles, small craft, and assault forces
anywhere in the Gulf region to threaten the flow of oil export.
Any major disruption affects the
entire economy of Asia and all world oil prices — regardless of
where oil is produced. It can lead to panic and hoarding on a
global basis.
If the US strikes Iran, the anti-Iran coalition will collapse
Airstrikes could destroy what has been a key constraint on
Iran's nuclear program: the system of international inspections
and sanctions that are currently in place.
European and particularly Asian countries have given the US
strategy much of its force by helping to isolate and sanction
Iran; that is what compelled Iran to negotiate and agree to make
concessions in the first place. If the US attacked Iran, the
international community would surely be appalled and abandon
its support for sanctioning and isolating Iran, leaving the
country wealthier and in a stronger diplomatic position. And
that's just the start.
U.S. relations with Russia have gone sufficiently south, and
the U.S. attack against Iran itself would be sufficiently
destabilizing, that we can almost surely expect Russia to
militarily support Iran in the form of aircraft and air defense
systems.
Moreover, if Russia opens up the Iranian defense market, we
can expect China to follow. The sanctions regime cannot
survive a U.S. attack on Iran.
assets across much of the region; Iran, too, has proxies across
the Middle East.
Iran could also attack oil infrastructure or blockade the Straits
of Hormuz, a critical oil-shipping route, which would have
tremendous effects
Iran can use a mix of mines, submarines, submersibles,
drones, anti‐ship missiles, small craft, and assault forces
anywhere in the Gulf region to threaten the flow of oil export.
Any major disruption affects the
entire economy of Asia and all world oil prices — regardless of
where oil is produced. It can lead to panic and hoarding on a
global basis.
If the US strikes Iran, the anti-Iran coalition will collapse
Airstrikes could destroy what has been a key constraint on
Iran's nuclear program: the system of international inspections
and sanctions that are currently in place.
European and particularly Asian countries have given the US
strategy much of its force by helping to isolate and sanction
Iran; that is what compelled Iran to negotiate and agree to make
concessions in the first place. If the US attacked Iran, the
international community would surely be appalled and abandon
its support for sanctioning and isolating Iran, leaving the
country wealthier and in a stronger diplomatic position. And
that's just the start.
U.S. relations with Russia have gone sufficiently south, and
the U.S. attack against Iran itself would be sufficiently
destabilizing, that we can almost surely expect Russia to
militarily support Iran in the form of aircraft and air defense
systems.
Moreover, if Russia opens up the Iranian defense market, we
can expect China to follow. The sanctions regime cannot
survive a U.S. attack on Iran.
The middle east is in such a mess that the americcan public would take a lot of beating to go into war there again. The elite is always willing. Its after all profitable to them. The US can go to war anytime as long as the US public supports the war. In any state, it is the public who always sanction war. Although most times they are never aware of it. The money makers at the top in th US would be ejaculating if americans went into another war mood. On the part of challenging the US military, you can only do that successfully in a bush war. In the open you wouldnt last. You also wouldnt last if it was a war of bulldozing each other like the world wars.
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