It does not matter how many people voted. If Uhuruto get 50+1% of TOTAL VOTES CAST, then they win the election. They will, of course, obtain more than 50% in at least 40 counties.
I don’t know exactly what’s happening in ODM strongholds, but suppose the vote goes on in at least 1 polling station in each constituency there. If only 2 people vote in a constituency, and those 2 vote for Uhuruto, and similar situation happens in other constituencies within the county, then JP will have won that county by 100%, even if total votes cast in the county were only a dozen. That is the law. Everything else is superfluous. It follows that, JP could actually win in Kisumu and Siaya. JP will therefore win in almost all the counties, if not all.
Legitimacy? In Kenya, legitimacy is like beauty - it lies in the eyes of the beholder. JP know the election is legitimate. NASA claims its illegitimate. That is why we have a referee. If the referee says it is legitimate, that’s it. End of story. JP have humbled themselves, and allowed an odm/nasa life member to become head of IEBC. JP has done everything to make sure elections are credible. But have been sabotaged by NASA and their moles in IEBC every step of the way.
If Kenyans wanted an election to be legitimate when at least 50% of registered voters in every constituency vote, they would have included that in the electoral laws.
I will use a football analogy: Two top teams are playing for the league cup final. One team quickly scores 3 goals in the first 5 minutes. The opposing team’s manager, upon realising his team is headed for a humiliating defeat, whispers to his players not to defend anymore. So, they let the other team score 40 goals in 90 minutes, a scoreline of 40-0. The plan is that the scoreline is so ridiculous, the match result will be cancelled by football officials, and a replay ordered/or a coin toss used to determine the winner. Pure rigging.
That is how nasa is operating. That is why JP supporters are saying: No dialogue. Because nasa is behaving like the football team above, rigging a game, and then demanding dialogue. It would set a very bad precedent - that you can sabotage elections, and be rewarded for that.