I have done the numbers using all media-reported data (PDF attached for doubters)
Ruto leads with about 160k votes remaining 1.087M (excluding some votes in the manual register)
Raila needs a huge miracle to surpass Ruto (about 65% of all remaining votes) to force a rerun
to win first round, he needs about 70% of all remaining votes
About 60% when we consider manual votes (est)
While the data only accounts for: Mombasa (42% of registered voters), Kwale (53), Kilifi (43.6), Garrisa (43.4), Wajir (42.2%), Marsabit (57), Nairobi (51%) strongholds, I beleive that there was voter aparthy and the counties wont save him
As a RAO voter, I formally congratulate WSR for winning the election and becoming the 5th president of Kenya
Our beloved mother Kenya has officially gone to the dogs
huyo anacompose lamentations on behalf of us mt kenyans. here included:
you will regret …
you are cursed…
-You are ungrateful’‘’‘’‘’‘’’
-mlichagua watu hawajui english…
-you are untrustworthy’‘’‘’‘’’
lamentations, lamentations while failing to tell us where kamwana’s army of mtk supporters dissapeared to
Ruto is leading by 70k votes so far (as per reported data)
My extrapolated data suggest that we have 850-1M votes remaining
The data also suggests that Ruto will win (50+%) of the remaining votes