Ni kama kujaribu kushinda mwalimu kwa mtihani na ni yeye ameiset. Sportpesa ndio hupea gambler odds and when calculating those odds they include an edge (they buy the odds from a third party but the concept is the same). But bonobos are too dumb to know it.
Design hukuwa simple. Most gamblers win more often than they lose. But…when they win they win small and when they lose they lose BIG. Jamaa atawekelea Barcelona mara tano na odds za 1.2 ashinde mara nne. Kwa hiyo moja atalose kila kitu alishinda previously na 0.2 juu yake. The average bonobo hajui tofauti ya kushinda games na kushinda pesa. Unaweza shinda games saba out of kumi na bado upoteze pesa.
Exceptions don’t make the rule. In a game of chance a few people will get lucky Abisai style.
Also, wealthy people don’t gamble with the intention of making money. They do it for the thrill. Peasants ndio hugamble na plans za kuomoka.
True professional gamblers exist but they are too few to make an impact. Also, betting companies and casinos have risk management departments to identify professional gamblers and ban them :D. Kwa hivyo hata by chance ukiwa genius, they have a department to identify and ban you.
The kind of resources needed to make it in gambling sio mchezo .We’ve tried building a system and are still fine tuning it one year later , but bado iko ish ish. We buy APIs that provide us with over 1,500 data points per match, but bado iko meeh!! not yet profitable with dummy bets .
With enough resources though, kama hawa majaa https://www.smartodds.co.uk/About/OurTeams , you’d make billions. They stake over 1 billion pounds for their clients annually.
For this kind of venture, you would need a whole team of graduate mathematicians ndio hiyo data ikusaidie. Kuna movie ya Brad Pitt inaitwa moneyball that shows how hard it is to try using statistics to win ball games.