Historically,In Africa the incumbents rarely lose power however the are only four countries that have succeeded to send the incumbents home
In Nigeria,Muhammadu Buhari succeeded Goodluck Jonathan after a rare battle
In Gambia,The ECOWAS intervened after the incumbent president refused concede the defeat after electoral body declared the results in favour of the opposition
It is only in Libya that Muammar Gaddafi was killed bringing to an end the reign of forty years
In Egypt Hosni Mubarak was ousted out of power in a popular uprising and army took over
However there is no incumbent president who has lost in east,central and southern African republic.
In Kenyan situation,the ruling party has never had any major crack since 2013.Furthermore the International Criminal Court(ICC) cases has come to an end giving Jubilee an upper hand
Whereas National Supper Alliance (NASA) talks about possible malpractices,Jubilee talks about grant projects including the Standard Gauge Railway(SGR) and Rural electrification
The NASA team takes claims to to demonize independent institutions i.e the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission(IEBC) when the Jubilee is strengthening it.
NASA is the coalition of analogue men and women who had rule in the past regime with no track records to prove that they can deliver if given power. Jubilee is made up of a more digital team with digital technology and realignments that reflects Kenya’s demographic representations
The hopelessness has affected the voting pattern of NASA strongholds due to successive defeat in past polls
In conclusion,Jubilee is more prepared compared to NASA