Bottom line is poor governance and loans is a recipe for disaster. A debt is a debt, regardless of the source.IMF, worldbank, private lenders or Chinese. IMF and Worldbank extend loans that depend on almost perfect execution to succeed. Chinese loans have been readily available sometimes in situations when governments are clearly not able to repay.
Zambia has been a collapsing economy since the 1970s. And can be traced to Kenneth Kaunda. Collapsing commodity prices begun their undoing. Then they reduced tariffs on textile products. This increased importation of textiles that destroyed their local manufacturing creating huge unemployment. They then jumped to the IMF for rescue. IMF extended loans and conditions over the last 30 years including privatization of local industries. Some privatized industries ran better than before. But most have since collapsed. The only way for this country to survive is total forgiveness of external debt.
Without a change of political structure and imposition of functioning systems, what would make the spendthrift ways and mismanagement not simply repeat themselves again?
The problem with Zambia is that their debt repayments take up so much that it leaves little for social development. They have to borrow to make make debt repayments. Without social development, you cannot get a means of developing capital. Its a two way problem.
Question is which problem is easier to fix. With the current political situation , can you imagine how difficult it is to fix the political structure.
Good morning, Malaysia simply wants to take the lead in the build itself instead of China. Well they have that capacity to build it so I don’t see why now. If they can let them built it themselves. I agree with this decision.
This is why I say the west spin on this airport is off. First no one will tell you that through China the airport has been rebuilt to a beautiful new modern terminal. Its going to be one of my favorite airports in Africa. If it was in this region it would have seriously rivalled JKIA. Now since repaying this loan for the build is a challenge then they want that loan converted to equity shareholding. They will recoup their investment from the share of revenue paid by airlines and airport operators for using the new terminal at the airport. As the state still controls security at the airport then its a win-win outcome.
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Zambia also borrowed from Russia a loan to restart its national airline and it has ordered 5 new planes from Russia for the same. Ethiopian airlines has boughts shares in the airline to help them start and survive the harsh first few years of infancy. Give the west media a few months to thrash that as well. They have ordered the 5 new Sukhoi superjet 100. Its a direct competition for Embraer E2 which KQ uses on regional routes.
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Trade deficit, China is the leading trading partner of almost all nations in the world including the usa. That means they will have more forex coming in than going out. Its also be the world economic power by 2022 by the usa treasury estimates. China has so much $$$ reserves such that its reaching a point the federal reserve chairman will have to talk to China regularly to maintain $$$ liquidity globally.
CNN reports…:D:D:D:D off course they would say that, its been only a month or two and they are in a hurry to call the game with a win before even 1st quarter is midway. China is playing the long game while usa is trying anything for short term victories. The usa right now is simultaneously starting a trade war with almost all nations. Its burning up favours and good standing with everyone with unilateral actions. Let’s await the results in a few years.
Then you need to explain what happened yesterday, you left me with egg on my face for something I have zero control over.