Voter turnout prediction in numbers

[mkiawakati96]

@Chanari

who

who gets the balance of 2M?

RAT will not get zero votes my fren.

[1776]

@Ukweli Tupu

I don’t understand why the number needs to be high. Even if only 3 million votes, and Uhuruto get 70% from that, with more than 24 counties won, that’s it.
If Uhuru gets 10 million votes, nasa will say he stole the votes. If he gets only 2 million votes, they will say ‘this means he stole on 8/8’. That is why the only thing that matters is he only satisfies the conditions set by law to be declared the winner:
-50+1% of total votes cast
-25% in at least 24 counties.
Those are the only conditions JP needs to satisfy, to become the winner.

Some of us care very little about what Nasa says.

[Swansea]

@Chifu

And what will uhuru gain after getting 98% of the less than 5 million votes cast out of the 19 million voters?
Something seriously ails Kenya but as expected the king will rule as if nothing happened.
Psychopants msiniquote.

This is the problem, watu wanatumia kichwa kama kofia. Lack of critical thinking and its impact.

[system]

Let me declare here.
I have done my calculations and have come to the conclusion :

The maximum votes Uhuru can get, hata with miracles is 7M. This is true if only his strongholds maintains the turn out like last time. However, if the voter turn out in Jubilee strongholds drop, it will be 6.5M. This is still based on the fact that akina Nyamira, Bungoma, Turkana, Marsabit will give him votes of upto 30K-80K votes. If they don’t, he will hit a low of 5M.

Prediction.
Uhuru 6.5M to 7M if voter turnout in strongholds is same and swing counties have voted even half of them

5M if swing counties votes are very low and voter turnout drops in strongholds

I really hoped for 7M. This is after halving the voter turnout in swing counties and removing the total (which is 1.3M). The situation however doesn’t look promising.

I hope Uhuru hits that 6.5M though. RWNEBP

[Koolibah]

@MuBig

Ebu predict a number just for the sake. Tuone Uhuru ako na kura ngapi kukiwa na intimidation. It doesn’t matter but there is pride in saying Jubilee has_M votes even with intimidation.

Hata voters wakiwa 10 uhuru gets 9 thats 90%. Hapo ndipo